October 16 NFL Best Bets
Jaguars at Colts
This game is my lock of the weekend. I’m picking the Colts primarily because I believe this game will determine Frank Reich’s status as head coach of Indy. If the Colts lose, Reich will be fired by Irsay. The Jags have had the Colts number of late and caused too many problems for Indy to ignore. There is no Nyheim Hynes or Jonathan Taylor, everything is leaning toward the Jags. Reich cooks up every trick in the book and the Colts pull this one out at home, keeping Reich safe for another week.
Colts Moneyline (-130) 2.5 Units
Jets at Packers
This Jets team is feisty in the fourth quarter. They’ve scored multiple touchdowns in back to back weeks in the fourth quarter leading to wins in both games. I believe the Packers will win this game, but they are not more than a touchdown better than the Jets. The Packers are in trouble offensively and Aaron Rodgers needs more help. He misses Davante Adams and the team really needs to replace him for the Packers offense to get back on track. The Jets keep it close and lose by a FG in Lambeau and the Packers bring in OBJ and call the Panthers about Robby Anderson next week.
Jets +7.5 (-110) 2.5 Units
Vikings at Dolphins
My upset pick of the weekend. The Vikings and Kirk Cousins are getting way too much love and hype after starting out 4-1. I can’t get that performance against the Eagles out of my mind. Kirk will be on the road in Miami. The weather will be a factor for the Vikings, just like it was for the Bills. I know the Dolphins are starting Skyler Thompson, but the offensive scheme McDaniels runs is similar to Kyle Shanahan, meaning it can succeed solely off the run game. Thompson is athletic and will be a weapon in the run game, the Vikings secondary is bad. The Dolphins wideouts are the fastest duo in the league, advantage Dolphins.
Dolphins ML (+150) 2 Units
Bills at Chiefs
This is the game we’ve been waiting for since last year’s thrilling AFC Divisional match between these two teams. The Bills haunted by the 13 seconds they left Mahomes to force OT and eventually win the game in OT. This game is about the standard of the league, which is the Chiefs. They have shown championship resiliency this season in overcoming double digits deficits multiple times (Chargers and Raiders). The Bills look great, but until they start beating the Chiefs with any sort of regularity, they are not rivals to the Chiefs. The Bills are the league’s answer to the Chiefs. I need to see the Chiefs be beaten before I respect the Bills and the hype they’ve received. Mahomes an underdog at home for the first time in his career! Chiefs ML is my MAX play of the weekend!
Chiefs ML (+120) 5 Units (MAX play)
Cowboys at Eagles
An NFC East matchup in prime time that’s worthy of the hype! The Eagles are 5-0 and the Cowboys are 4-1. This is the game that determines if Jalen Hurts is the answer at QB for Philadelphia. The Eagles have not faced a defense as good as Dallas all season. I’m betting Dallas defense keeps this game close. The limitations of Cooper Rush worry me against a very good Eagles defense, but I’m expecting a low scoring game with few touchdowns and several field goals. In a low scoring game, give me the points for the Cowboys.
Cowboys +6.5 (-110) 2.5 Units
