2023 NFL Conference Championship Best Bets
Chiefs at Ravens
This was a difficult one for me because I’m picking against Mahomes. This feels like the Ravens moment. Their defense is historically great. Lamar is going to win his second MVP award this season. This Chiefs team has overachieved to get here. If this Chiefs team had better weapons or a more dependable downfield threat, I would feel better about Mahomes against this defense.
This defense has erased so many talented teams this year; I believe they’ve crushed the Niners, Lions, and Texans already. The team has played so well all season, the game is in Baltimore for the first time in 50 years. I’m riding with the Ravens in this one as I’m picking Lamar to head to his first Super Bowl.
Ravens -4 (-110) 2 Units
Lions at Niners
The Lions are somehow in the NFC Championship game. Credit to Dan Campbell and that team for getting here, but this point feels disrespectful. After what we’ve seen from the Lions, I don’t think they should be more than a TD underdog to any team.
The Packers had the Niners beat several times last week but couldn’t finish the job. They blew a late lead to the Niners, and the Niners had an incredible comeback to beat them. Credit to the Niners for the comeback win but this feels like way too many points.
This game has FG-loss written all over it one way or the other. I’ll take the points and the Lions in this one.
Lions +7.5 (-110) 2 Units
2023 Year-to-date record
43-33-1, +27.6 U