Dec 11 NFL Best Bets

Bucs at Niners

I can’t believe Tom Brady is getting more than a FG against BROCK PURDY! Who? This 3rd string QB is going to beat Tom Brady? Seems highly unlikely. The Niners defense is good and Shanahan is a scheme lord, but I just don’t see a 3rd string QB beating Brady, much less covering a spread over a FG.

I’m taking the Bucs on this one and even sprinkling a little on the moneyline. Purdy is too unproven to bet on and the fact that it’s Tom Brady returning to where he’s from in Northern California, love me the Bucs and Brady this week.

Bucs -3.5 (-110) 2.5 Units & Bucs ML +170

Chiefs at Broncos

Nobody wants to bet this Broncos team and I can’t blame them. That’s the perfect time to fade the public and bet on them at home getting more than a TD at home. 8.5 points is a lot, even though the Broncos have been very disappointing to say the least.

The Chiefs play down to their competition and don’t cover too many games. The public sees Mahomes and the Chiefs and just blindly bets it. Give me the Broncos and the points today.

Broncos +8.5 (-110) 2.5 Units

Jaguars at Titans

This Jags team hasn’t won in Nashville in like a decade. The Titans have dominated them and the AFC South lately, but this line looked odd. Give me the hook and the Jags in this one, even if they can’t win, I feel like they will definitely cover this game.

Trevor Lawrence and the Jags have been looking better of late and should at least be competitive in this game. This Titans team is well coached, and they just got dominated by the Eagles. Everything telling me to bet the Jags because of the hook on the line is what I’m doing.

Jags +3.5 (-110) 2.5 Units

Browns at Bengals

This game feels like another trap by the sportsbooks. The Bengals coming off that emotional high after upsetting the Chiefs last weekend. They’ve struggled with the Browns in the past and I’m expecting some bad weather. Getting over a FG in a divisional matchup, I’ll take the points.

Watson has to start looking better one of these games and I’m just expecting the Bengals to have a down performance after that game against the Chiefs. Give me the Browns and the points.

Browns +4 (-110) 2.5 Units